'Healthy double-digit returns are still possible, though a sharp rally is unlikely.'
The divergence between the Sensex and Nifty closing values narrowed on the third day of the Closing Auction Session (CAS) rollout, but market participants, including Zerodha's Nithin Kamath, highlight structural issues and the unfortunate timing of its introduction alongside new RBI norms.
The Nifty and Sensex outperformed Asian peers in South Korea, Japan, Taiwan and China.
FPIs have already withdrawn Rs 2.6 trillion from Indian equities in 2026, exceeding the outflows recorded in any previous full calendar year.
SBI Funds Management, India's largest asset management company, has set its IPO price band between 545 and Rs 574 per share, valuing the company at 1.2 trillion. The management explained the 'moderate' valuation aims to instil investor confidence amidst market uncertainty, while also highlighting plans for AI integration, expansion into GIFT City, and new alternative investment funds.
Pre-listing shareholder lock-ins for 53 companies, valued at $11 billion, are set to expire between July and September, according to an analysis by Nuvama Institutional Equities, though not all shares are expected to flood the open market.
Global brokerage Citi has reduced its Nifty 50 index target to 26,000 from 27,000, citing persistent geopolitical tensions, risks to corporate earnings growth, and concerns about India's role in the global artificial intelligence (AI) ecosystem.
India is increasingly focusing on long-range weapons capable of reaching targets across China.
Global investment firm KKR remains optimistic about India's long-term growth, citing rising incomes, premiumisation, financial deepening, and demand for quality services as key drivers for its consumption story, even as higher energy prices and AI disruption pose near-term challenges.
'When I look at India's relative valuations, these are by far the lowest I have seen in my 35-year career.' 'The relative 12-month trailing performance is among the weakest I have seen, and foreign investor positioning is at a 16-17 year low.'
In April alone, they snapped up shares worth Rs 19,664 crore, recording their biggest buy since October 2024.
Listed capital market companies in India delivered strong fourth-quarter earnings growth, with a universe of 12 firms posting 30 per cent year-on-year revenue growth and 19 per cent earnings growth in Q4FY26, despite mark-to-market (MTM) losses impacting headline profitability for some.
'PM Modi is trying to reduce the volume of fuel consumed instead of raising prices sharply.'
Indian defence stocks have seen an average year-on-year gain of 67 per cent, driven by renewed interest following 'Operation Sindoor' and a broader increase in global geopolitical tensions, with the combined market capitalisation of 18 firms increasing by approximately 2.3 trillion.
'What we are witnessing is a massive anti-incumbency wave that has cut across all social and political divides.'
'FPIs are unlikely to return unless there is equilibrium between valuation premium and earnings growth.'
'We have lost 70-80 per cent of our business from foreign guests.'
New demat account additions in India reached an 11-month low in March, with only 2.15 million new accounts opened, significantly below the 12-month average. This slowdown is attributed to a sharp decline in equity markets, escalating West Asia tensions, and increased crude oil prices impacting India's economic outlook.
Financial year 2025-26 (FY26) saw a significant shift in corporate fundraising, with rights issues more than doubling to a multi-decade high of 51, raising 44,290 crore, while qualified institutional placements (QIPs) more than halved to 29 issues, mobilising 62,954 crore, driven by sharp equity market corrections and regulatory changes.
Only 2.5 per cent of the equity in Jio Platforms will be offloaded through the OFS route -- meant for secondary share sale.
